Tuesday 31 January 2017

EM ASIA FX-Asian currencies firmer as Trump policy worries dent dollar

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SINGAPORE, Jan 31 Most Asian monetary standards ascended on  Tuesday against a shaky dollar as U.S. President Donald Trump's extreme position on movement mixed stresses over his approach needs and dangers to the U.S. monetary viewpoint. 

The Thai baht touched its largest amount since Nov. 10 at around 35.16 for each dollar, helped by nearby exporters' dollar-offering at the month-end. 

A couple of different monetary forms, including the Philippine peso also, the Singapore dollar, increased 0.1 percent against the greenback. 

Coastal exchanging the Chinese yuan and the Taiwan dollar stayed shut on Tuesday, for the Lunar New Year occasions. The most recent blow against the dollar came after Trump on  Friday requested an impermanent prohibition on the passage of evacuees and individuals from seven Muslim-larger part nations. 

The migration checks blended stresses over Trump's internal looking approaches and conceivable dangers to the monetary viewpoint, and weighed on the greenback. 

"When you consider every one of the parts of his activities, it's difficult to purchase the dollar wholeheartedly," said Satoshi Okagawa, senior worldwide markets expert for Sumitomo Mitsui Managing an account Corporation in Singapore. 

"There is only a great deal of instability, which makes it hard to settle on an (exchanging) technique," he included. Trump let go best government legal advisor Sally Yates on Monday after she made the phenomenally uncommon stride of resisting the White House and declined to shield new travel confinements focusing on seven Muslim-dominant part countries. 

Against a wicker bin of six noteworthy monetary standards, the dollar last  exchanged at 100.40, down from a one-week high of 101.02 that was determined to Monday. 

"The market is particularly fastened to development in the more extensive U.S. dollar. We might enter some imperative circumstances as the markets are burrowing for pieces of information on the Trump approach front," 

Stephen Innes, senior merchant at FX agent OANDA, said in a note. Notwithstanding Trump's approaches and comments, the close term center for financial specialists is the U.S. Central bank's two-day approach meeting that begins later on Tuesday. 

While the Fed is broadly anticipated that would keep the government reserves rate unaltered at a scope of 0.50 percent to 0.75 percent this week, speculators will look for any adjustments in the Fed's evaluation of monetary conditions. 

Most Asian monetary standards are on track for month to month picks up in January, having appreciated a lift as financial specialists pared back their bullish wagers on the dollar in the midst of stresses that Trump was centering  more on exchange protectionism than star development approaches.

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Ringgit higher against US dollar in early trade

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KUALA LUMPUR: The ringgit was higher against the US dollar in the early session today taking after weaker purchasing slant for the greenback, said a merchant. 

At 9.25 am, the ringgit was exchanged at 4.4250/4300 against the US dollar, higher than the 4.4300/4330 recorded last Friday. 

The merchant said the US dollar was influenced by late proceeds onward movement by President Donald Trump. 

The market was shut on Monday for the Chinese New Year occasion. 


Then, the ringgit exchanged blended against a wicker container of real monetary standards. 

It enhanced against the British pound to 5.5343/5410 from 5.5588/5643 and was higher against the euro at 4.7321/7397 from 4.7370/7411. 

The neighborhood unit deteriorated against the Singapore dollar to 3.1142/1182 from 3.1046/1078 and fell against the yen to 3.8884/8935 from 3.8522/8565.

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The ringgit was higher against the US dollar in early Tuesday

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KUALA LUMPUR: The ringgit was higher against the US dollar in early Tuesday taking after weaker purchasing assessment for the greenback, said a merchant. 

At 9.25am, the ringgit was exchanged at 4.4250/4300 against the US dollar, higher than the 4.4300/4330 recorded last Friday. 

The merchant said the US dollar was influenced by late proceeds onward movement by President Donald Trump. 


The market was shut on Monday for the Chinese New Year occasion. 

In the interim, the ringgit exchanged blended against a crate of real monetary forms. 

It enhanced against the British pound to 5.5343/5410 from 5.5588/5643 and was higher against the euro at 4.7321/7397 from 4.7370/7411. 


The nearby unit devalued against the Singapore dollar to 3.1142/1182 from 3.1046/1078 and fell against the yen to 3.8884/8935 from 3.8522/8565. - Bernama 

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Friday 27 January 2017

EM ASIA FX-Asian currencies pressured as dollar rebounds from 7-week lows

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SINGAPORE, Jan 27 Most developing Asian monetary forms  edged lower in occasion diminished exchange on Friday, after the dollar bounced back on the back of hopefulness over the U.S. monetary standpoint also, corporate income. 


The Thai baht and Philippine peso facilitated 0.1 percent, while the Indonesian rupiah rupee were both down around 0.2 percent on the day. 


The dollar climbed extensively, and against a wicker container of six noteworthy monetary standards, it increased 0.3 percent to 100.67, pulling without end from Thursday's seven-week low of 99.793. 

Most Asian monetary standards are on track for month to month picks up until now in January, having appreciated a lift as speculators pared back their bullish wagers on the greenback. 

While U.S. values and Treasury yields have amplified their picks up in the previous week, fuelled by a positive U.S. financial viewpoint and President Donald Trump's signs of new open spending, worries over possibly new exchange boundaries have weighed on the dollar in the most recent two weeks. 

"There's still vulnerability as in business sectors are as yet attempting to take a few to get back some composure on Trump's arrangements," said Mitul Kotecha, head of Asia full scale system for Barclays in Singapore. 

"There was such a desire and develop of situating," 


Kotecha stated, including that bearish wagers against Asian monetary forms what's more, long positions in the dollar have as of late been pared back. A Reuters survey directed for the current week demonstrated that estimation towards developing Asian monetary standards has for the most part enhanced in the most recent two weeks. 

Financial specialists were assessed to have forcefully decreased their bearish wagers against the Chinese yuan in the wake of Beijing's late clampdown on capital outpourings and examiners. 

The late strength in the yuan's moves against the dollar has supported supposition towards developing Asian monetary forms, said a dealer for a Japanese bank in Tokyo. 

"The yuan is acting like a grapple," the merchant stated, including that one concentration is the manner by which the yuan moves after the Lunar New Year occasion and to what degree the Chinese specialists will let the advertise decide the yuan's moves.

Forex market

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KUALA LUMPUR: Former Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) partner representative Datuk Abdul Murad Khalid uncovered yesterday that the national bank endured US$10 billion in remote trade (forex) showcase misfortunes in the mid 1990s, far higher than it had ever conceded. Also, what was all the more perplexing, as per him, was that nobody was ever examined or charged for what he depicted as the greatest forex misfortunes on the planet. 

The 64-year-old Murad, who left BNM in 1999


additionally shared "behind-the-scene" workings of the cryptic Bank Negara forex operations. He guaranteed there was no legitimate documentation of the immense exchanges and that lone a top national investor and a lesser staff had a record of the considerable number of arrangements. 

Murad's exposures are set to bring about a political mix and reestablish requires a careful test into the misfortunes, which happened amid the prevalence of Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad. In an uncommon meeting with the New Straits Times and Utusan Malaysia, Murad said the real forex misfortunes were US$10 billion, much higher than the RM9 billion as unveiled by BNM.


He said the misfortunes, esteemed at RM44 billion at the present conversion scale, were "genuine cash that went down the deplete". 


"The aggregate misfortunes were US$10 billion and not ringgit... our misfortunes are in outside monetary standards and not ringgit. 

                                                                                                                                           

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RM opens at 4.42 against USD

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KUALA LUMPUR: The ringgit was somewhat lower against the US dollar in the early session today on benefit taking, after the nearby note's late picks up. 

At 9.02am, the ringgit was exchanged at 4.4290/4350 against the greenback, lower than the 4.4270/4310 recorded at close yesterday. 

Be that as it may, a merchant said the ringgit would likely enhance for the duration of the day as market feeling towards the greenback, was genuinely bearish on stresses over US President Donald Trump's protectionist position on exchange. 

In the interim, the ringgit exchanged higher against a crate of real monetary standards. 

It acknowledged against the Singapore dollar to 3.1079/1138 from 3.1165/1200 on Thursday and rose against the yen to 3.8641/8696 from 3.8776/8828. 

It enhanced against the British pound to 5.5774/5859 from 5.5917/5981 and was higher against the euro at 4.7311/7392 from 4.7462/7509.

                                                                                                                                                                   

FOREX  SIGNALS:  SELL AUDNZD 1.0410 TARGETS  1.0380 1.0350 STOPLOSS 1.0445

FOREX  SIGNALS UPDATE: OUR ALMOST 1st TARGET HAS HIT IN  AUDNZD 1.0383 KINDLY BOOK   PROFIT IN IT.
                                                                                                                                                                   

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Tuesday 24 January 2017

Forex - Dollar index drops below 100 in Asia on trade worries

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The dollar debilitated to the least levels in over two months as worries of extreme changes to the worldwide exchange administration by President Donald Trump got financial specialists worried about prospects oftit-for-tat reprisals on imports and fares. 

The U.S. dollar record, which measures the greenback against a crate of monetary forms, was last cited down 0.81% to 99.95, the main plunge beneath 100 since mid-November. USD/JPY changed hands at 112.81, up 0.10%, while AUD/USD exchanged at 0.7582, down 0.03%. 

"Speculators are apprehensive because of Trump's protectionism approaches and their trust is that his tax break arrangements could maybe spare the day for them," said Naeem Aslam, boss market examiner at ThinkMarkets, in a note on Tuesday. 

Overnight, the dollar dropped on Monday on developing worries that the multilateral exchange administration will see sharp changes under Trump from a proposed fringe duty to potential different activities on import levies. 

Trump tended to U.S. fabricating administrators with a rehashed guarantee to force an outskirt impose on firms that import items into the United States subsequent to moving American production lines abroad and reported the nation had deserted the Trans-Pacific Partnership exchange settlement among twelve countries. Trump's guarantees of tax breaks and higher government spending keep on holding the market's consideration, however subtle elements are meager. 

Trump additionally said Sunday he would begin chats with Mexico and Canada to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). 

In his introduction discourse on Friday, Trump said his organization would put "America first" and furthermore guaranteed new streets, spans and parkways. In any case, advertise assumption was hit by the negative tone of the discourse, which underlined instability over how Trump will administer.


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Ringgit opens higher against US Dollar

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KUALA LUMPUR: The ringgit was higher against the US dollar today on simpler estimation on the greenback, said a merchant. 

The merchant said speculator estimation on the US dollar has hosed on the back of protectionism strategy proposed by President Donald Trump. 

At 9.07 am, the nearby unit was exchanged at 4.4330/4370 against the greenback's nearby at 4.4360/4400 yesterday. 


In any case, the ringgit was exchanged lower against a bushel of significant monetary standards. 

It devalued against the Singapore dollar to 3.1260/1310 from the 3.1224/1259 on Monday and declined against the yen to 3.9244/9283 from 3.9039/9078 already. 

The nearby note fell against the British pound to 5.5506/5569 from 5.5219/5287 and debilitated against the euro to 4.7659/7707 from 4.7572/7632.

FOREX SIGNALS

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FOREX  SIGNALS:  SELL EURAUD 1.4210 TARGETS  1.4180 1.4150 STOPLOSS 1.4240



FOREX SIGNALS UPDATE: OUR ALMOST 1st TARGET HAS HIT IN EURAUD 1.4188 KINDLY BOOK   PROFIT IN IT.

FOREX HNI SIGNALS:  SELL EURCAD 1.4265 TARGETS  1.4240 1.4210 STOPLOSS 1.4300


FOREX  SIGNALS UPDATE:  KINDLY BOOK PROFIT IN EURCAD AT 1.4245

Monday 23 January 2017

Forex - Dollar down in Asia nearly 1% against yen on trade concerns

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The dollar fell very nearly 1% against the yen on Monday as fears develop that President Donald Trump's "America First" strategy could prompt to wide exchange war with key Asian economies and that alongside plan to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement and relinquish the Trans Pacific Partnership- - worldwide monetary opportunity may melt away.


USD/JPY changed hands at 113.63, down 0.87%, while AUD/SUD tarded at 0.7571, up 0.15%. GBP/USD picked up also, up 0.37% to 1.2420. 


The U.S. dollar record, which measures the greenback's quality against an exchange weighted wicker container of six noteworthy monetary standards, fell 0.41% to 100.36 late Friday. The record had moved around 3.5% since Trump's decision win in November, yet has fallen 1.49% so far this month in the midst of stresses over Trump's protectionist position and taking after late comments in which he said the dollar was excessively solid.

Later on Monday, ECB President Mario Draghi is to talk at an occasion in Italy. 


In the week ahead, Trump's strategy arranges in his first days in office are probably going to rule features alongside final quarter development from the U.S. on Friday and from the U.K. a day prior. Tuesday's information on euro region private part action will likewise be nearly viewed.

A week ago, the U.S. dollar slid against a wicker container of the other significant monetary forms on Friday as business sectors responded to Donald Trump's inaugural discourse after he was confirmed as president of the U.S.

On Friday, Trump said his organization would put "America first" and furthermore guaranteed new streets, spans and thruways. 


In any case, advertise assessment was hit by the negative tone of the discourse, which underlined vulnerability over how Trump will represent.

The Mexican peso has been hard hit by fears over potential changes to U.S. exchange strategy under the Trump organization. However, USD/MXN was last cited down 0.63% to 21.4519 in quotes on Monday.

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Ringgit opens slightly higher against US dollar

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KUALA LUMPUR: The ringgit was marginally higher against the US dollar in the early session today, taking after the ascent in worldwide oil cost. 

At 9.21 am, the neighborhood unit was exchanged at 4.4420/4470, higher against the greenback's nearby at 4.4450/4480 last Friday. 

A merchant said universal benchmark Brent Crude fates rose eight pennies to US$55.57 per barrel as at 8.16 am today, on proclamations from oil makers that yield cut was being executed. 

"This lifted market notion and incited interest for the neighborhood note," he said. 


In the interim, ForexTime Market Research Vice-President Jameel Ahmad said the effect of Donald Trump's initiation towards the money related markets had been genuinely quieted, with financial specialists in a keep a watch out mode. 

"Financial specialists are sitting tight for clarity on how the new US President will have the capacity to actualize his crusade guarantees before settling on their next key positions," he included. 

The ringgit exchanged lower against a wicker bin of real monetary forms. 


It deteriorated against the Singapore dollar to 3.1286/1324 from the 3.1112/1135 recorded last Friday, and declined against the yen to 3.9027/9074 from 3.8619/8648. 

The neighborhood note fell against the British pound to 5.5019/5107 from 5.4625/4679 and debilitated against the euro to 4.7649/7721 from 4.7321/7358. 

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Foreign funds turn net sellers in week ended Jan 20

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KUALA LUMPUR: Foreign financial specialists solidified their position a week ago, turning net venders following two weeks of purchasing on Bursa Malaysia, as indicated by MIDF Research. 

The examination house said worldwide assets handed net venders over the third week of 2017 following two weeks of purchasing, however the sum sold was moderately minor. 

"The net sum sold by nonnatives on Bursa was just RM143mil, contrasted and RM485mil inflow the fortnight earlier. For the year until Friday, outside stream stayed in the excess, at RM341.6mil," MIDF said in its week after week report. 


Without a doubt remote financial specialists were net purchasers on Wednesday and Thursday. On Friday, President Trump's initiation day, remote financial specialists returned to offering, yet the sum was likewise negligible. 

"A week ago's stream of store information in the neighborhood value showcase reflects local pattern as worldwide financial specialists pulled back from the market in the midst of the changing of the gatekeepers in Washington. It stays to be seen whether nonnatives will be back in the market this week. Outside investment fell 16% a week ago as the normal every day exchange esteem (ADTV) added up to just RM709.7mil," it included. 

MIDF noticed that retailers interest rate, in view of the ADTV fell 21% to RM555.5mil. In view of the pattern in cash stream, MIDF anticipates that the market will perform better post-Chinese New Year. 

A week ago, Petronas Gas enlisted the most elevated net cash inflow of RM30.46mil week finished Jan 20, 2017. Its share cost, in any case, slacked with a 3.17% misfortune against the FBM KLCI which declined by a littler 0.46% amid the week under survey. 

Regardless, it is eminent that net cash inflow in the midst of withdrawing offer cost may show a purchase on shortcoming (BOW) position among a few financial specialists. 


Malayan Banking (Maybank) recorded the second most astounding net cash inflow of RM10.43mil while British American Tobacco saw the third most noteworthy net cash inflow of RM9.65mil. 

In the interim, Sime Darby saw the biggest net cash surge of RM23.74mil a week ago. IHH Healthcare recorded the second biggest net cash outpouring of RM5.21mil. 

UMW Holdings enrolled the third biggest net cash outpouring at RM5.12mil in the audit week yet its impart cost greatly beat to a 10.43% ascent. 

In related news, UMW Holdings is leaving from oil and gas business with the demerger of UMW Oil and Gas by means of the dispersion in-specie of all UMW Holdings' 55.7% stake in the last mentioned. 


In any case, it is prominent that net cash outpouring in the midst of propelling offer cost demonstrates an offer on quality (SOS) position among a few speculators.

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Friday 20 January 2017

Forex - Aussie down in Asia as China GDP, retail, industrial data eyed

Forex Signals


The Australian/Singapore dollar inclined weaker in Asia on Friday with China development, retail deals and modern creation ahead anticipated that would set the tone. 

AUD/USD exchanged at 0.7556, down 0.07% with China the top exchange goal for key wares from Australia, while USD/JPY changed hands at 115.08, up 0.19%. 

In China, GDP information for the final quarter of 2016 and the entire year is expected with a 6.7% yearly pace seen and a 1.7% expansion quarter-on-quarter. Too China reports modern generation with an ascent of 6.1% seen year-on-year for December and retail deals up 10.7% year-on-year, a tick down from 10.8% the earlier month. 

The U.S. dollar list, which measures the greenback's quality against an exchange weighted bushel of six noteworthy monetary standards, was last cited down 0.21% to 101.10. 

Overnight, the dollar clutched picks up against alternate majors monetary standards on Thursday, helped by playful U.S. information, in spite of the fact that speculators stayed mindful ahead Donald Trump's initiation on Friday. 

European Central Bank President Mario Draghi recognized that the development viewpoint for the euro region has enhanced, however repeated that quantitative facilitating can be expanded if the standpoint turns out to be less ideal. 

The remarks came after the ECB left its benchmark loan fee unaltered at a record-low 0.0%, in accordance with conjectures, and kept the measure of its month to month quantitative facilitating program at roughly €80 billion. 

In the U.S., the Department of Labor said introductory jobless claims in the week finishing January 14 fell by 15,000 to 234,000. Experts anticipated that jobless cases would ascend by 5,000 to 254,000 a week ago. 

Also, the U.S. Business Department said lodging begins expanded by 11.3% to 1.226 million units a month ago, beating desires for an ascent to 1.200 million units. 

Be that as it may, building grants out of the blue diminished by 0.2% to 1.210 million units in December. A different report demonstrated that the Philly Fed producing file rose to 23.6 a month ago from 21.5 in November, contrasted with desires for an ascent to 15.8.

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Ringgit opens at 4.44 against USD

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KUALA LUMPUR: The ringgit opened level against the US dollar today because of an absence of crisp leads on the money's transient standpoint, merchants said.

At 9.02am, the nearby unit was exchanged at 4.4470/4510 against the greenback, just like the case yesterday.

A merchant said financial specialists stayed on sidelines because of developing worries in front of the US President-elect Donald Trump's initiation function today evening time.

The ringgit exchanged generally bring down against a crate of significant monetary forms, with the exception of the British pound.

It deteriorated against the Singapore dollar to 3.1179/1215 from 3.1172/1211 and slipped against the euro to 4.7418/7465 from 4.7396/7457 on Thursday.

The ringgit enhanced against the yen to 3.8686/8735 from 3.8818/8856 on Thursday however deteriorated against the British pound to 5.4872/4934 from 5.4734/4787.- - BERNAMA

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Ringgit opens flat against the dollar ahead of Trump inauguration

 Currency Trading Signals


KUALA LUMPUR: The ringgit opened level against the US dollar today because of an absence of new leads on the money's fleeting standpoint, merchants said.

At 9.02 am, the neighborhood unit was exchanged at 4.4470/4510 against the greenback, similar to the case yesterday.

A merchant said financial specialists stayed on sidelines because of developing worries in front of the US President-elect Donald Trump's initiation service today evening time.

The ringgit exchanged generally bring down against a wicker container of real monetary forms, aside from the British pound.

It devalued against the Singapore dollar to 3.1179/1215 from 3.1172/1211 and slipped against the euro to 4.7418/7465 from 4.7396/7457 on Thursday.

The ringgit enhanced against the yen to 3.8686/8735 from 3.8818/8856 on Thursday yet deteriorated against the British pound to 5.4872/4934 from 5.4734/4787.

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Thursday 19 January 2017

Forex: J$128.67 to one US dollar

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The US dollar on Wednesday, January 18, finished exchanging at $128.67, up by five pennies, as per the Bank of Jamaica's every day remote trade exchanging rundown.

In the interim, the Canadian dollar finished exchanging at J$101.42, up from J$98.80, while the British pound sterling finished exchanging at J$157.61, up from J$156.23.

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Malaysia, Indonesia central banks find their hands tied

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As the distinction amongst Malaysia's and the U.S.' benchmark rates limit, assets were probably going to stream out of Malaysia to make a beeline for the U.S. looking for less hazardous returns. 
In any case, Salmon noticed that while Malaysia may keep its rates unaltered, it was presently more prone to permit the ringgit to debilitate. The national bank was associated with mediating in the remote trade advertise before the end of last year as the ringgit tumbled, coming surprisingly close to 4.50 ringgit to the dollar. 
"A weaker ringgit will help support send out intensity and this comes at once where trade development is truly beginning to get toward the finish of a year ago and early this year thus outside request is truly observed as an impetus to development for one year from now particularly as there are some delicate fixes in the household economy," he said. 
However, he included that he expected the BNM would attract a line the sand at 4.50 ringgit to the dollar. 
Others additionally noticed that the Indonesian and Malaysian national banks were probably going to hold approach unfaltering.
"Waiting ware headwinds ostensibly leave space to ease in the midst of generous swelling. Yet, hypothetical capacity to straightforwardness is restricted and exaggerated," Mizuho said in a note on Thursday. 
"Practically speaking, weaker monetary standards give substitute settlement, as well as deflecting intemperate ringgit and rupiah drops assumes control as arrangement need. High outside obligation presentation ups outfitting, and subsequently capital (and remote trade) unpredictability to rising worldwide loan fees."
That implies the two national banks should move toward an impartial, instead of a timid position, Mizuho stated, taking note of the reasonable effect from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's feasible strategies.

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Ringgit opens slightly lower against US dollar

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KUALA LUMPUR: The ringgit withdrew from yesterday's increases to open somewhat bring down against the US dollar today on restored worries over a conceivable US financing cost rise, merchant said. 

At 9.10 am, the nearby unit exchanged at 4.4480/4530 to the greenback from 4.4430/4460. 

A merchant said the US dollar recovered some lost ground after Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen recommended the national bank was prepared to raise overnight loan costs rapidly in the coming year. 

The ringgit, be that as it may, exchanged higher against a wicker container of real monetary forms. 

It acknowledged against the Singapore dollar to 3.1111/1149 from 3.1267/1301 on Wednesday and reinforced against the British pound to 5.4515/4580 from 5.4724/4784. 

The ringgit rose versus the euro to 4.7256/7326 from 4.7513/7563 and enhanced against the yen at 3.8749/8806 from 3.9228/9265.

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Wednesday 18 January 2017

Ex-Deutsche Bank forex trader in Singapore admits cheating bank

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[SINGAPORE] A previous remote trade merchant from Deutsche Bank AG conceded that he conned the bank by making false exchanges. 

Toh Hway Khuan, 51, confessed on Wednesday to 13 charges identifying with utilizing the financial balance's to get special rates on the US dollar in November 2009. The previous spot merchant was accused in 2015 of 39 numbers where he's blamed for purchasing and offering more than US$250 million and unlawfully making about S$140,000. He confronts the length of seven years in jail and a fine for every charge. 

The offenses occurred around the season of the Monetary Authority of Singapore's survey of endeavors by banks to apparatus cash benchmarks in 2007 to 2011. 

The controller reprimanded 20 banks in 2013 and requested them to enhance inward controls. Tests into the gear of remote trade markets and financing cost benchmarks have prompted to loan specialists over the globe paying billions of dollars in fines and an upgrade of how such rates are set.

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Ringgit opens higher against US dollar

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KUALA LUMPUR: The ringgit proceeded with its upward energy from yesterday's near open higher against the US dollar on Wednesday as more speculators moved premium towards developing monetary standards, merchants said. 

At 9.01 am, the neighborhood unit was exchanged at 4.4410/4480 against the greenback from yesterday's 4.4600/4650. 

A merchant said the greenback was hit by British Prime Minister Theresa May's discourse on Brexit, which set off the British pound's biggest one-day rate pick up in nine years. 

The ringgit, then, exchanged higher against a wicker bin of real monetary forms. 

It acknowledged against the Singapore dollar to 3.1319/1370 from 3.1428/1470 on Tuesday, however fell against the British pound to 5.5002/5102 from 5.4265/4344. 

The ringgit progressed versus the euro to 4.7568/7647 from 4.7624/7682 and fortified against the yen at 3.9423/9489 from 3.9452/9506. - BERNAMA

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Onshore forex market hits RM40b daily average volume

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PETALING JAYA: Financial markets keep on seeing solid exercises, with the coastal outside trade (forex) showcase recording an every day normal volume of US$9.2bil (RM40.48bil) over a wide range of forex exchanges, said Bank Negara. 

The every day normal volume for coastal spot and forward market exchanges especially for ringgit money match has been above US$2bil (RM8.8bil), like the level recorded in December 2016. 

In the mean time, the exchange volume in the ringgit non-deliverable forward (NDF) advertise keeps on contracting, said the Bank Negara Financial Markets Committee (FMC) in an announcement yesterday. 

"The ringgit has been steady in the midst of worldwide instabilities and improvements in the United States, as business sectors suspect arrangement points of interest by the approaching Trump organization. 

"The conversion scale unpredictability declined with the normal ringgit intraday development narrowing to around 61 focuses from a normal of 82 focuses in December a year ago," said Bank Negara. 

Bank Negara called attention to that the distinction between the purchasing and offering rates had additionally contracted discernibly to 20 focuses in January, diminishing the forex exchange cost. 

"The ringgit level could additionally balance out with the kept rebalancing of the request and supply of the ringgit and the antagonistic impacts from the NDF market being further lessened," it said. 

For the exchange area, Bank Negara said an aggregate of US$10.7bil (RM47.08bil) of forex exchanges in connection to the fare and import of merchandise with an every day normal of US$1.1bil (RM4.84bil) occurred amid the time of Jan 1 to Jan 16. 

It said that the rate of fare continues transformation keeps on expanding. For the economy everywhere, the diminished swapping scale instability and the narrowing of the spread between the purchasing and offering rate has brought down the exchange cost of change. 

The ceaseless engagement with partners, especially the organizations and exporters, by Bank Negara has brought about a decrease in the quantity of questions got on the activities and its execution, it said. 

Since the declaration of the new measures, 1,500 inquiries were gotten, of these 84% have been reacted to. The rest of the cases will be settled soon. 

For the reserve director supporting system, two extra store administrators have enrolled with Bank Negara since the last redesign, with the aggregate resources under administration qualified under the structure expanding to RM44.4bil. 

Bank Negara has likewise connected with two universal monetary market affiliations speaking to worldwide reserve directors and banks to give clarity on the structure. It will encourage the enrollment and interest of their individuals in the coastal money related market. 

Bank Negara and FMC will keep on monitoring the advance and gather input from general society on the activities and draw in all partners to guarantee its effective execution. 

This is gone for making a favorable and organized money related market environment to encourage business and monetary exercises.

Live Signals:

Tuesday 17 January 2017

Singapore data: Exports rose more than expected y/y in December

 Forex Signals Singapore


Singapore Non-oil domestic exports (NODX) for December

  • Higher than expected y/y
  • Exports to China jumped

  • Non-oil domestic exports +9.4 pct from year earlier (Reuters poll +5.8 pct, so a big beat)
  • NODX +1.0 pct m/m after seasonal adjustment; reuters poll -5.5 pct
  • Domestic exports of electronics +5.7 pcty/y
Singapore's NODX to United States -16.4 y/y in December
  • To China +33.5 pct y/y
  • To Europe -4.8 pct y/y 

Live Status: 

Ringgit opens lower against US dollar

 Forex Trading Recommendation

KUALA LUMPUR: The ringgit stretched out misfortunes from Monday to open lower against the US dollar today on developing worries over expected remarks from US Federal Reserve authorities in the not so distant future, merchants said. 

At 9.03 am, the nearby unit was exchanged at 4.4650/4680 against the greenback from 4.4640/4680 on Monday. 

The ringgit, in the interim, exchanged for the most part higher against a wicker container of significant monetary forms, aside from the Japanese yen. 

It debilitated against the Singapore dollar to 3.1237/1260 from 3.1208/1245 yesterday, yet enhanced against the British pound to 5.3803/3848 from 5.3845/3911. 

It devalued against the euro at 4.7356/7397 from 4.7269/7321 and slipped against the yen to 3.9139/9176 from 3.9069/9107. 

Live Status:


 Forex Recommendation


FOREX  SIGNALS:  SELL EURAUD 1.4195 TARGETS  1.4165 1.4135 STOPLOSS 1.4230

FOREX  SIGNALS:  SELL NZDUSD 0.7110 TARGETS  0.7085 0.7055 STOPLOSS 0.7140


Live Status:

Monday 16 January 2017

FX 2017: JPY – Yield Curve Control To Keep Yen Weak



Recent correction does not change our relatively positive outlook over USDJPY this year. Donald Trump's victory at the US presidential election last November triggered sharp rally in interest rates and USD, facilitated by unwinding of USD shorts and opening of USD longs. 

Despite a pullback after soaring to a recent high 118.66 in mid-December, reflation trades, hinging on the bets that Trump's administration would drive quicker growth and inflation, remain in play and should push USDJPY higher after consolidation. Yield curve targeting announced in September indicates that BOJ would strive to keep the 10-year JGB yields close to its target by buying sufficient amounts of bonds. This, together with the sharp rise in US yields, helps accelerate divergence of Japanese yields from those in the US, pressuring Japanese yen. We do not feel surprised if prices corrects to 110-112 in 1Q17. Rather, it offers a buying opportunity for a resumption of recent rally. Risk to USDJPY's strength is slower-than-expected and/or milder-than-expected implementation of Trump's pro-growth policy.

BOJ's Shift to Yield Curve Control. In September, BOJ announced a policy called QQE with Yield Curve Control  effectively shifting its monetary stimulus from money supply expansion to interest rate control. As mentioned in the accompanying statement, the new policy framework consists of two major components, namely, 'yield curve control' in which the Bank will control short-term and long-term interest rates, and 'inflation-overshooting commitment' in which the Bank commits itself to expanding the monetary base until the year-on-year rate of increase in the observed consumer price index (CPI) exceeds the price stability target of 2% and stays above the target in a stable manner. For “yield curve control”, BOJ noted that it would purchase JGBs so that 10-year JGB yields would remain around 0%. The purchases would be conducted more or less in line with the current pace, an annual pace of increase in the amount outstanding of its JGB holdings at about 80 trillion yen. 

BOJ also noted that JGBs with a wide range of maturities would continue to be eligible for purchase, while the guideline for average remaining maturity of the Bank's JGB purchases will be abolished. For short term rate, BOJ would apply a -0.1% rate to the Policy-Rate Balances in current accounts held by financial institutions at BOJ. In a nutshell, BOJ would strive keep its 10-year government bond yield at 0%, in contrast with usual central bank practice of controlling only short-term rates.

The chart below shows that USDJPY has been highly correlated with US-Japan 10-year yield spreads, over the past months. Hopes that Trump's pro-growth policy would drive higher economic expansion and inflation, and facilitate a tighter monetary policy stance, have lifted Treasury yields and USD of late. 

With the market shy of pricing in three Fed funds rate hikes (as signaled in the December dot plot) this year, there is room for USD to rally further should incoming macroeconomic data eventually convince traders that more rate hikes are possible. Fed's hawkish and BOJ's determination to keep long-term yields near 0% reveal monetary policy divergence and help widening yield differential, a factor facilitating the rise of USDJPY

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